Enter The Machine Economy
The commercial opportunity around humanoid robotics is no longer in question. As Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, recently said,
“It’s happening faster than we thought… humanoid robots are the convergence of the same three technologies or innovation platforms as robo taxis, energy storage, and AI…Elon thinks that the humanoid robot business is going to dwarf the robo taxi business, and we think he’s right.”
Investors are paying attention. In just two years, the top five startups in the space have raised over $4 billion. Figure AI, which recently closed a $1.5 billion round at a $39.5 billion valuation, is now working with BMW to automate sections of its manufacturing. Apptronik, with backing from Google DeepMind and commercial partnerships with Mercedes and Jabil, is scaling production of its Apollo robot for logistics and assembly. Agility Robotics has deployed robots into Amazon facilities.
Each of these companies represents a different go-to-market strategy, but what we’re seeing is humanoid robots finally leaving the testing labs and entering the economy.
From robotic caregivers to agricultural assistants the use cases for humanoids are expanding. Elon Musk has announced plans to send a Tesla Optimus to Mars while Unitree is shipping agile robots for factories in China and priced its G1 model at just $16,000. As more domains become accessible to physical AI, the total addressable market continues to expand.
Key Players in the Humanoid Robotics Market
The competitive landscape is already diverse and globally distributed. Here are some of the most important players shaping the future of the humanoid robotics market:
Figure AI (USA)
Backed by OpenAI, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Bezos, Figure has rapidly become the most highly valued humanoid startup. Its F.02 robot is now operational at BMW’s U.S. plant, performing autonomous tasks. Figure AI has also developed its own AI model, Helix, to replace reliance on third-party systems.
With its full-stack approach and strategic partnerships, Figure is positioning itself as the leader in general-purpose humanoid deployment. The company’s tight integration of software and hardware places it at the center of the physical AI revolution.Apptronik (USA)
Emerging from NASA’s Valkyrie project, Apptronik is developing theApollo, a humanoid built for factory work and has a modular design. With Google DeepMind as a strategic partner, and deployment pilots underway with Mercedes-Benz and GXO Logistics, it’s well positioned for industrial-scale rollout.
Apptronik emphasizes flexibility and modularity, targeting logistics and automotive industries. Its scalable architecture and emphasis on human-safe design make it a key player in the shift toward collaborative robotics in the workplaceAgility Robotics (USA)
Known for Digit, a bipedal robot optimized for warehouse work. Agility is already working with Amazon and GXO, demonstrating real-world uptime and performance at multiple sites.
Agility is one of the few companies focusing entirely on commercial readiness, with its robots engineered to plug directly into existing warehouse infrastructure. Its partnership with Amazon hints at near-term mass deployment potential.1X Technologies (Norway/USA)
Backed by OpenAI and Tiger Global, 1X is taking a different approach targeting the home. Its Neo Gamma robot combines autonomy with tele-operation and is already scheduled for hundreds of household pilots in 2025.
1X’s vision centers on assistive robotics for domestic and personal environments, positioning it as the leading contender for consumer-grade humanoids. Its use of hybrid control models could enable smoother transitions to full autonomy.Unitree Robotics (China)
Focused on cost-efficiency and agility, Unitree has deployed humanoid and quadruped robots in EV factories and research labs. Its open-source-friendly architecture and ultra-low pricing make it a contender for emerging markets.
In a recent viral demo, two of Unitree’s humanoids “wrestled” each other in a boxing match, showing off balance, agility, and coordination in real-time. While purely a performance routine, it highlighted how affordable platforms can now execute dynamic, choreographed physical interactions, capturing attention and proving low-cost robotics can deliver compelling performance.Neura Robotics (Germany)
Neura’s cognitive robots integrate 3D vision, AI, and tactile sensing. Its 4NE-1 is their flagship humanoid robot and its MAiRA robots are being deployed across healthcare and logistics, supported by a €1B commercial order book.
Neura is advancing human-robot interaction with AI-native design and cognitive capabilities. Its emphasis on perception and intuitive control aligns it closely with applications in sensitive, people-facing environments.Sanctuary AI (Canada)
Known for advanced robotic hands and its Phoenix robot, Sanctuary is pioneering manipulation and dexterity using hydraulic actuators. It holds one of the deepest patent portfolios in robotic hand design.
Sanctuary’s focus on fine-motor control and embodied cognition places it at the frontier of general-purpose robotics. Its technology is crucial for expanding robot use cases far outside repetitive tasks to those requiring nuanced human-like manipulation.
Decentralizing the Machine Economy
As humanoid robots begin to operate in physical environments, they become participants in a broader shift. The Machine Economy refers to an economic system in which intelligent, connected machines perform work, exchange value, and manage operations with minimal human intervention. This means robots that not only act autonomously, but also earn, pay, and improve through their own actions.
This model depends on several key technologies such as on-device intelligence, open data access, decentralized identity, and the ability to transact through crypto-native infrastructure. It also demands new systems of ownership and control. If these machines are capable of generating value, who benefits?
That’s where Decentralized Physical AI (DePAI) and projects like XMAQUINA come in. Instead of routing everything through a central platform, DePAI systems distribute value across contributors and communities. Through tokenized governance, real-world deployments can be directed by DAOs, allowing people to co-own and guide the future of physical AI.
Why the Humanoid Race Won’t Have a Single Winner
Unlike earlier technology cycles, the humanoid robotics sector is unlikely to produce a monopoly. There are structural barriers to dominance, including:
1. Regional Constraints
China, the US, and the EU are developing parallel ecosystems with trade restrictions and national priorities.
2. Specialization
No robot can do everything. Industrial, household, agricultural, and space robots require different frames, sensors, and models.
3. Security
The use of robots in sensitive environments will trigger strict controls around data and deployment.
Much like smartphones or automobiles, the market will support a range of players targeting different price points, geographies, and capabilities. Some will prioritize affordability, others precision or human-robot interaction. Over time, brands will matter, and design will become a differentiator.